Research Symposium

BIO

Jeremy is a first year student at FSU. He is from Sterling Virginia, which is just outside Washington, DC. Jeremy is currently studying Environmental Science and intends to pursue a master's degree. He hopes to ultimately work for the Environmental Protection Agency. Jeremy has been analyzing how Regional Climate Models behave and intends to utilize this knowledge in future projects.

CMIP6-based Multi-model Hydroclimate Projection analysis for Pensacola Bay Area

Abstract

Climate change has been affecting many different physical factors that contribute to our climate, such as runoff, temperature, and wind. We are looking to analyze projected data to see how climate change will presumably affect the Pensacola Bay Area. By analyzing projected climate data, we have the potential to predict when major storm systems, such as hurricanes, can affect local areas. At the beginning of this research, we collected projected climate data from a regional climate model (RCM), this data came from many different simulations as well as three different climate projections. From there, we calculated a rate based on the most recent data to contextualize data from different RCMs. Finally, we got the average rates for each period of time (day, month, year) from 1980-2059. Wind is projected to decrease over the described period of time. Runoff is projected to increase over the described period of time. What this data implies is that rates of precipitation will tend to rise over the following years. This project will be continued over the summer to see if we can find specific rates to equate to tropical storms or hurricanes.

Keywords: Climate, Projection, Pensacola Bay, Environmental Science