Research Symposium

24th annual Undergraduate Research Symposium, April 3, 2024

Alexander Khan He/Him Poster Session 2: 10:45 am - 11:45 am/230


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BIO


Applied mathematics post-baccalaureate student with prior education in economics at Florida State University. I am interested in machine learning, neural networks, deep learning, financial math, and statistics. My current academic journey involves synthesizing prior knowledge of economics with current interests in advanced computational fields.

Stock Price Prediction: Deep Neural Network LSTM

Authors: Alexander Khan, Arafatur Rahman
Student Major: Applied Mathematics, Economics
Mentor: Arafatur Rahman
Mentor's Department: Financial Mathematics
Mentor's College: Florida State University
Co-Presenters: Pietro Candiani

Abstract


This study explores the predictive capabilities of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models in forecasting the stock price movements of the S&P 500. The model utilizes a comprehensive set of features, including historical stock prices, macroeconomic indicators, and technical indicators. By conducting a comparative analysis, this research assesses the performance of the models and the significance of different features. The findings reveal that the LSTM model's effectiveness varies with the inclusion of specific features and the chosen timeframes. Additionally, the study examines the impact of market volatility events, such as the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, on predictive accuracy. Highlighting the potential of technical indicators in market condition predictability, the project offers insights for future advancements in financial market forecasting models.

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Keywords: Machine Learning, Neural Networks, LSTM